Kiefer Crosbie vs Sam Patterson

July 26, 2024

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

945
(-27)
Kiefer Crosbie
Winner: Sam Patterson
Submission
Round 1 • 2:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kiefer Crosbie-27
Sam Patterson+31
1032
(+31)
Sam Patterson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kiefer Crosbie: -28Sam Patterson: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricKiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Total UFC Fights23
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO9511 043
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kiefer Crosbie: -20Sam Patterson: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricKiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9591 020
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kiefer Crosbie: -34Sam Patterson: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricKiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:502:50
Win Type ELO9241 088
ELO Change-34+59
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What Happened

Sam Patterson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kiefer Crosbie: -26Sam Patterson: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricKiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Significant Strikes Landed99
Significant Strikes Attempted1626
Total Strikes Landed1013
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO953988
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Kiefer Crosbie controlled the striking through superior accuracy (56.3% vs 34.6%). However, since Kiefer Crosbie lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sam Patterson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kiefer Crosbie: -48Sam Patterson: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricKiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:150:56
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO8941 046
ELO Change-48+48
💡

What Happened

Sam Patterson controlled Kiefer Crosbie on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kiefer Crosbie: -20Sam Patterson: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricKiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Days Since Last Fight322189
Activity ELO9591 026
ELO Change-20+25
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What Happened

Sam Patterson demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sam Patterson capitalized on this activity level, while Kiefer Crosbie's 322-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kiefer Crosbie: -20Sam Patterson: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricKiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9591 026
ELO Change-20+24
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What Happened

Sam Patterson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kiefer Crosbie is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kiefer Crosbie: -20Sam Patterson: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricKiefer CrosbieSam Patterson
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9591 020
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.