February 13, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Neil Magny's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Kiichi Kunimoto pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:22 | 1:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +44 |
Neil Magny earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:22, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kiichi Kunimoto was submitted.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 142 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 142 vs 20 total strikes, 76 vs 10 significant strikes, 67.9% vs 35.7% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:12 | 5:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 985 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | -129 | +129 |
Neil Magny dominated Kiichi Kunimoto on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 5:28 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 093 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +28 |
Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Kiichi Kunimoto's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +44 |
Neil Magny continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Kiichi Kunimoto's now at 0.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

