September 19, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 107 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Kiichi Kunimoto receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 084 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Richard Walsh controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (96 vs 62 total strikes), significant strike advantage (59 vs 36), superior accuracy (56.2% vs 39.1%), 2 knockdowns. However, since Richard Walsh lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kiichi Kunimoto's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:05 | 3:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 114 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Kiichi Kunimoto edged out Richard Walsh on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 6:05 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 157 |
| Activity ELO | 1 104 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -19 |
Kiichi Kunimoto demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kiichi Kunimoto capitalized on this activity level, while Richard Walsh's 157-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Kiichi Kunimoto extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Richard Walsh is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.