June 9, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 023 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +36 |
Zak Ottow overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kiichi Kunimoto.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Zak Ottow receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Zak Ottow edged the striking exchanges with 37 vs 25 significant strikes. Zak Ottow capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:00 | 2:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 952 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Zak Ottow edged out Kiichi Kunimoto on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:22 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 847 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Zak Ottow demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Zak Ottow capitalized on this activity level, while Kiichi Kunimoto's 847-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Zak Ottow started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kiichi Kunimoto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kiichi Kunimoto | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.