September 8, 1994
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kimo Leopoldo | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 984 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Royce Gracie's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Royce Gracie for the expected result. Had Kimo Leopoldo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kimo Leopoldo | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 990 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kimo Leopoldo | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 994 | 1 457 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +10 |
Royce Gracie earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kimo Leopoldo | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 991 | 1 334 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Kimo Leopoldo controlled the striking through superior accuracy (66.7% vs 33.3%). However, since Kimo Leopoldo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Royce Gracie's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kimo Leopoldo | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 989 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kimo Leopoldo | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 703 |
| ELO Change | -1 | +1 |
Royce Gracie demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Royce Gracie capitalized on this activity level, while Kimo Leopoldo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kimo Leopoldo | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 8 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +33 |
Royce Gracie continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Kimo Leopoldo's now at 0.
| Metric | Kimo Leopoldo | Royce Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.