December 13, 2025
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | King Green | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 28 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 27 | -27 |
| Experience ELO | 1 189 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
King Green's 27-fight experience advantage (28 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding King Green for the expected result. Had Lance Gibson Jr. pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | King Green | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | King Green | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 326 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with King Green receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | King Green | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 141 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 220 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
King Green controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 35 total strikes, 65 vs 30 significant strikes. King Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | King Green | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 282 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
King Green edged out Lance Gibson Jr. on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:44 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 327 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
King Green demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, King Green capitalized on this activity level, while Lance Gibson Jr.'s null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 122 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -15 |
King Green started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lance Gibson Jr. is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | King Green | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.