July 31, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | King Green | Lando Vannata |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 155 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
King Green's 3-fight experience advantage (13 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding King Green for the expected result. Had Lando Vannata pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | King Green | Lando Vannata |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | King Green | Lando Vannata |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 205 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
King Green earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | King Green | Lando Vannata |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 115 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 195 | 127 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 136 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 235 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
King Green dominated the striking exchanges with 136 vs 64 total strikes, 115 vs 54 significant strikes, 59.0% vs 42.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. King Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | King Green | Lando Vannata |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:05 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 167 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
King Green controlled Lando Vannata on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 3:05 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Lando Vannata |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 42 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 230 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -18 |
King Green demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 42 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, King Green capitalized on this activity level, while Lando Vannata's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Lando Vannata |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -19 |
King Green extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lando Vannata is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | King Green | Lando Vannata |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.