March 8, 2025
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | King Green | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 27 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 24 | -24 |
| Experience ELO | 1 172 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +104 |
Mauricio Ruffy overcame a 24-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 27 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran King Green.
| Metric | King Green | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | King Green | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:07 | 2:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 323 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +152 |
Mauricio Ruffy earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | King Green | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 200 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Mauricio Ruffy controlled the striking exchanges with 44.4% vs 26.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mauricio Ruffy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | King Green | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 270 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | King Green | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 321 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +90 |
Mauricio Ruffy demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mauricio Ruffy capitalized on this activity level, while King Green's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +34 |
Mauricio Ruffy extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. King Green is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | King Green | Mauricio Ruffy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.