February 11, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
King Green's 9-fight experience advantage (18 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding King Green for the expected result. Had Nasrat Haqparast pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 318 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
King Green earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 188 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 355 | 193 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 188 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 337 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
King Green dominated the striking exchanges with 188 vs 76 total strikes, 188 vs 76 significant strikes, 53.0% vs 39.4% accuracy. King Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 239 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 323 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -10 |
King Green demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, King Green capitalized on this activity level, while Nasrat Haqparast's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 110 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
King Green extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nasrat Haqparast is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | King Green | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.