July 26, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | King Green | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 26 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 212 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +71 |
Paddy Pimblett overcame a 20-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran King Green.
| Metric | King Green | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | King Green | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:22 | 3:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 391 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +96 |
Paddy Pimblett earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | King Green | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 328 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
King Green controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (15 vs 8). However, since King Green lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Paddy Pimblett's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | King Green | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 303 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Paddy Pimblett edged out King Green on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | King Green | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 357 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +41 |
Paddy Pimblett demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Paddy Pimblett capitalized on this activity level, while King Green's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 132 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +48 |
Paddy Pimblett continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. King Green's now at 0.
| Metric | King Green | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.