August 6, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | King Green | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 108 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +55 |
Rafael Fiziev overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran King Green.
| Metric | King Green | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | King Green | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 143 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Rafael Fiziev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | King Green | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 143 | 104 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 263 | 223 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 143 | 104 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 193 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
King Green controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (143 vs 104 total strikes), significant strike advantage (143 vs 104). However, since King Green lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rafael Fiziev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | King Green | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 174 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | King Green | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 234 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +38 |
Rafael Fiziev demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Fiziev capitalized on this activity level, while King Green's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +31 |
Rafael Fiziev extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. King Green is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | King Green | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.