April 14, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | King Green | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | King Green | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | King Green | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 148 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rashid Magomedov receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | King Green | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 75 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 143 | 189 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 120 | 1 307 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
King Green controlled the striking through superior volume (104 vs 88 total strikes), superior accuracy (52.4% vs 39.7%). However, since King Green lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rashid Magomedov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | King Green | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:28 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 046 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Rashid Magomedov controlled King Green on the ground with 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 103 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Rashid Magomedov demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rashid Magomedov capitalized on this activity level, while King Green's 315-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | King Green | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Rashid Magomedov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. King Green is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | King Green | Rashid Magomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.