November 9, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Klaudia Sygula | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Melissa Mullins's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Melissa Mullins for the expected result. Had Klaudia Sygula pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Klaudia Sygula | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Klaudia Sygula | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:20 | 1:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 959 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +83 |
Melissa Mullins gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Klaudia Sygula | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 900 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -100 | +100 |
Melissa Mullins controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 22 total strikes, 38 vs 12 significant strikes, 63.3% vs 37.5% accuracy. Melissa Mullins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Klaudia Sygula | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:04 | 2:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 29 |
| Ground ELO | 938 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Melissa Mullins controlled Klaudia Sygula on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:46 of control time, 29 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Klaudia Sygula | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Melissa Mullins demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Melissa Mullins capitalized on this activity level, while Klaudia Sygula's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Klaudia Sygula | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Melissa Mullins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Klaudia Sygula is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Klaudia Sygula | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

