February 8, 2025
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kody Steele | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 964 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Rongzhu's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rongzhu for the expected result. Had Kody Steele pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kody Steele | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kody Steele | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 957 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Rongzhu earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kody Steele | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 125 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 209 | 241 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 126 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 926 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Rongzhu dominated the striking exchanges with 126 vs 59 total strikes, 125 vs 59 significant strikes, 51.9% vs 28.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rongzhu capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kody Steele | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 977 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kody Steele | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +39 |
Rongzhu demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rongzhu capitalized on this activity level, while Kody Steele's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kody Steele | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 977 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Rongzhu started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kody Steele is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kody Steele | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

