June 14, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Malcolm Wellmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 924 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Malcolm Wellmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 944 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Malcolm Wellmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:37 | 2:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 919 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +50 |
Malcolm Wellmaker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Malcolm Wellmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 814 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Malcolm Wellmaker controlled the striking exchanges with 25 vs 6 significant strikes, 64.1% vs 22.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Malcolm Wellmaker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Malcolm Wellmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 941 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Malcolm Wellmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 191 | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 948 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +87 |
Malcolm Wellmaker demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Malcolm Wellmaker capitalized on this activity level, while Kris Moutinho's 1191-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Malcolm Wellmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 945 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Malcolm Wellmaker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kris Moutinho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Malcolm Wellmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 944 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

