July 9, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 983 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Sean O'Malley's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean O'Malley for the expected result. Had Kris Moutinho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:33 | 4:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 988 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +25 |
Sean O'Malley gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 230 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 218 | 318 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 230 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Sean O'Malley dominated the striking exchanges with 230 vs 70 total strikes, 230 vs 70 significant strikes, 72.3% vs 32.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sean O'Malley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 986 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +32 |
Sean O'Malley demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean O'Malley capitalized on this activity level, while Kris Moutinho's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Sean O'Malley extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kris Moutinho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kris Moutinho | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

