Kris Moutinho vs Sean O'Malley

July 9, 2021

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

983
(-17)
Kris Moutinho
Winner: Sean O'Malley
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 4:33

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kris Moutinho-17
Sean O'Malley+22
1185
(+22)
Sean O'Malley

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kris Moutinho: -17Sean O'Malley: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricKris MoutinhoSean O'Malley
Total UFC Fights17
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9831 185
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean O'Malley for the expected result. Had Kris Moutinho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kris Moutinho: -16Sean O'Malley: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKris MoutinhoSean O'Malley
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 092
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kris Moutinho: -12Sean O'Malley: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricKris MoutinhoSean O'Malley
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish4:334:33
Win Type ELO9881 328
ELO Change-12+25
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kris Moutinho: -32Sean O'Malley: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricKris MoutinhoSean O'Malley
Significant Strikes Landed70230
Significant Strikes Attempted218318
Total Strikes Landed70230
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9681 353
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley dominated the striking exchanges with 230 vs 70 total strikes, 230 vs 70 significant strikes, 72.3% vs 32.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sean O'Malley capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kris Moutinho: -14Sean O'Malley: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricKris MoutinhoSean O'Malley
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:090:04
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9861 130
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kris Moutinho: -13Sean O'Malley: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricKris MoutinhoSean O'Malley
Days Since Last FightN/A105
Activity ELO9871 178
ELO Change-13+32
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean O'Malley capitalized on this activity level, while Kris Moutinho's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kris Moutinho: -15Sean O'Malley: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricKris MoutinhoSean O'Malley
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9851 119
ELO Change-15+18
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kris Moutinho is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kris Moutinho: -16Sean O'Malley: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKris MoutinhoSean O'Malley
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 092
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.