June 27, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kristian Rothaermel | Rob MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kristian Rothaermel | Rob MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kristian Rothaermel | Rob MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:01 | 4:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +78 |
Rob MacDonald earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kristian Rothaermel | Rob MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 954 | 962 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Rob MacDonald slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 10 vs 3 significant strikes, 58.8% vs 50.0% accuracy. Rob MacDonald capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kristian Rothaermel | Rob MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 777 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -223 | +223 |
Rob MacDonald dominated Kristian Rothaermel on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 2:48 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kristian Rothaermel | Rob MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 116 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Rob MacDonald demonstrated solid activity levels with 116 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rob MacDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Kristian Rothaermel's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kristian Rothaermel | Rob MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Rob MacDonald started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kristian Rothaermel is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kristian Rothaermel | Rob MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.