May 30, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 002 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +62 |
Magnus Cedenblad earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:59, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Krzysztof Jotko was submitted.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 013 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Krzysztof Jotko lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Magnus Cedenblad's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:56 | 6:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 832 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -195 | +195 |
Magnus Cedenblad dominated Krzysztof Jotko on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:27 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Magnus Cedenblad demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Magnus Cedenblad capitalized on this activity level, while Krzysztof Jotko's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Magnus Cedenblad extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Krzysztof Jotko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

