July 26, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Krzysztof Jotko's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Krzysztof Jotko for the expected result. Had Marc-Andre Barriault pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 220 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Krzysztof Jotko receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 158 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Krzysztof Jotko controlled the striking exchanges with 98 vs 62 total strikes, 34.2% vs 50.6% accuracy. Krzysztof Jotko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:49 | 2:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 161 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Krzysztof Jotko edged out Marc-Andre Barriault on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:49 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 171 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -12 |
Krzysztof Jotko demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Krzysztof Jotko capitalized on this activity level, while Marc-Andre Barriault's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 109 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -15 |
Krzysztof Jotko extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marc-Andre Barriault is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.