Krzysztof Jotko vs Misha Cirkunov

October 1, 2021

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1157
(+21)
Krzysztof Jotko
Winner: Krzysztof Jotko
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Krzysztof Jotko+21
Misha Cirkunov-19
1073
(-19)
Misha Cirkunov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Krzysztof Jotko: +30Misha Cirkunov: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricKrzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
Total UFC Fights1511
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 1471 067
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Krzysztof Jotko's 4-fight experience advantage (15 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Krzysztof Jotko for the expected result. Had Misha Cirkunov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Krzysztof Jotko: +19Misha Cirkunov: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKrzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0871 021
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Krzysztof Jotko: +11Misha Cirkunov: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricKrzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2381 229
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Krzysztof Jotko receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Krzysztof Jotko: +11Misha Cirkunov: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricKrzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
Significant Strikes Landed4141
Significant Strikes Attempted9591
Total Strikes Landed5655
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 164949
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

Krzysztof Jotko slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Krzysztof Jotko capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Krzysztof Jotko: +29Misha Cirkunov: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricKrzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
Takedowns Landed15
Takedowns Attempted317
Ground Control Time0:444:06
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO1 1931 161
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Krzysztof Jotko did not secure a significant ground advantage against Misha Cirkunov on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:44 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Krzysztof Jotko: +30Misha Cirkunov: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricKrzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
Days Since Last Fight154203
Activity ELO1 2061 091
ELO Change+30-17
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What Happened

Krzysztof Jotko demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Krzysztof Jotko capitalized on this activity level, while Misha Cirkunov's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Krzysztof Jotko: +20Misha Cirkunov: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricKrzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1321 046
ELO Change+20-18
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What Happened

Krzysztof Jotko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Misha Cirkunov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Krzysztof Jotko: +19Misha Cirkunov: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKrzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0871 019
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.