October 23, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Scott Askham |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Scott Askham |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Scott Askham |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 053 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Krzysztof Jotko receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Scott Askham |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Krzysztof Jotko dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 38 total strikes, 38 vs 22 significant strikes. Krzysztof Jotko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Scott Askham |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:05 | 2:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 995 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Krzysztof Jotko controlled Scott Askham on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:05 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Scott Askham |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 385 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Krzysztof Jotko demonstrated extended layoff with 385 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Krzysztof Jotko capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Askham's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Scott Askham |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Krzysztof Jotko extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Askham is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Scott Askham |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.