April 30, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 227 | 1 377 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Sean Strickland earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 84 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 196 | 182 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 153 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Sean Strickland controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 37 total strikes, 84 vs 37 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 18.9% accuracy. Sean Strickland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 164 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 176 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +24 |
Sean Strickland demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean Strickland capitalized on this activity level, while Krzysztof Jotko's 350-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 112 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Sean Strickland extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Krzysztof Jotko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

