October 3, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Tor Troeng |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Tor Troeng |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Tor Troeng |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Krzysztof Jotko earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Tor Troeng |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 132 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 062 | 874 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Krzysztof Jotko dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 26 total strikes, 74 vs 15 significant strikes, 75.5% vs 31.9% accuracy. Krzysztof Jotko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Tor Troeng |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 19 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:18 | 4:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Krzysztof Jotko controlled Tor Troeng on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:18 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Tor Troeng |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Krzysztof Jotko demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Krzysztof Jotko capitalized on this activity level, while Tor Troeng's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Tor Troeng |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Krzysztof Jotko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tor Troeng is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Krzysztof Jotko | Tor Troeng |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.