July 2, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Krzysztof Soszynski | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 042 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Stephan Bonnar's 6-fight experience advantage (12 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stephan Bonnar for the expected result. Had Krzysztof Soszynski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Krzysztof Soszynski | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Krzysztof Soszynski | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:08 | 3:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +104 |
Stephan Bonnar gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Soszynski | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 992 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -132 | +132 |
Stephan Bonnar controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 33 total strikes, 48 vs 32 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stephan Bonnar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Krzysztof Soszynski | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:10 | 3:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 033 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Stephan Bonnar landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Krzysztof Soszynski | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 133 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +50 |
Stephan Bonnar demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stephan Bonnar capitalized on this activity level, while Krzysztof Soszynski's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Krzysztof Soszynski | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Stephan Bonnar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Krzysztof Soszynski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Krzysztof Soszynski | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.