Kuniyoshi Hironaka vs Thiago Alves

Thiago Alves's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thiago Alves for the expected result. Had Kuniyoshi Hironaka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Thiago Alves gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Thiago Alves controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 20 total strikes, 48 vs 15 significant strikes, 49.5% vs 38.5% accuracy. Thiago Alves capitalized on this striking dominance.

Thiago Alves did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kuniyoshi Hironaka on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:54 of control time, 6 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Thiago Alves demonstrated standard activity with 263 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Kuniyoshi Hironaka's 167-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Thiago Alves extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kuniyoshi Hironaka is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.