July 13, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 915 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:29 | 1:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 933 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +77 |
Raoni Barcelos gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 102 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 226 | 146 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 130 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 902 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Kurt Holobaugh controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (130 vs 95 total strikes), significant strike advantage (102 vs 82), superior accuracy (45.1% vs 56.2%). However, since Kurt Holobaugh lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Raoni Barcelos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 2:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Raoni Barcelos landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 904 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 965 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Raoni Barcelos demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Raoni Barcelos capitalized on this activity level, while Kurt Holobaugh's 1904-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Raoni Barcelos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kurt Holobaugh is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.