Kurt Holobaugh vs Shane Burgos

November 2, 2018

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

924
(-17)
Kurt Holobaugh
Winner: Shane Burgos
Submission
Round 1 • 2:11

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kurt Holobaugh-17
Shane Burgos+19
1099
(+19)
Shane Burgos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kurt Holobaugh: -16Shane Burgos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKurt HolobaughShane Burgos
Total UFC Fights35
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO8991 125
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Shane Burgos's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Shane Burgos for the expected result. Had Kurt Holobaugh pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kurt Holobaugh: -16Shane Burgos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKurt HolobaughShane Burgos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9461 055
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kurt Holobaugh: -21Shane Burgos: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricKurt HolobaughShane Burgos
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:112:11
Win Type ELO9121 160
ELO Change-21+37
💡

What Happened

Shane Burgos earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kurt Holobaugh: -10Shane Burgos: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricKurt HolobaughShane Burgos
Significant Strikes Landed2117
Significant Strikes Attempted5124
Total Strikes Landed2617
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO8921 115
ELO Change-10+10
💡

What Happened

Kurt Holobaugh controlled the striking through superior accuracy (41.2% vs 70.8%), 1 knockdown. However, since Kurt Holobaugh lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Shane Burgos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kurt Holobaugh: -25Shane Burgos: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricKurt HolobaughShane Burgos
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:130:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO9021 098
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kurt Holobaugh: -13Shane Burgos: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricKurt HolobaughShane Burgos
Days Since Last Fight113287
Activity ELO9521 113
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Shane Burgos demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Shane Burgos capitalized on this activity level, while Kurt Holobaugh's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kurt Holobaugh: -16Shane Burgos: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricKurt HolobaughShane Burgos
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9461 069
ELO Change-16+17
💡

What Happened

Shane Burgos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kurt Holobaugh is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kurt Holobaugh: -16Shane Burgos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKurt HolobaughShane Burgos
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9461 055
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.