April 26, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Steven Siler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Steven Siler's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Steven Siler for the expected result. Had Kurt Holobaugh pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Steven Siler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Steven Siler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 972 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Steven Siler earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Steven Siler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 133 | 128 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Steven Siler edged the striking exchanges with 50 vs 41 significant strikes. Steven Siler capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Steven Siler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:59 | 6:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 967 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Steven Siler edged out Kurt Holobaugh on the ground with 1 takedown, 6:47 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Steven Siler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +26 |
Steven Siler demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Steven Siler capitalized on this activity level, while Kurt Holobaugh's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Steven Siler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +19 |
Steven Siler started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kurt Holobaugh is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kurt Holobaugh | Steven Siler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

