May 22, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Phillipe Nover |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Phillipe Nover |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Phillipe Nover |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:03 | 1:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 050 | 915 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -43 |
Kyle Bradley earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Phillipe Nover |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 909 | 864 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Kyle Bradley slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 63.6% vs 27.3% accuracy. Kyle Bradley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Phillipe Nover |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 837 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Phillipe Nover |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 248 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 992 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Kyle Bradley demonstrated standard activity with 248 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Bradley capitalized on this activity level, while Phillipe Nover's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Phillipe Nover |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Kyle Bradley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phillipe Nover is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Phillipe Nover |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.