January 10, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 003 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Rafael Dos Anjos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 99 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 872 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Rafael Dos Anjos dominated the striking exchanges with 99 vs 31 total strikes, 42 vs 21 significant strikes. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 8:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 890 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Rafael Dos Anjos dominated Kyle Bradley on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 8:17 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 234 | 115 |
| Activity ELO | 972 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +49 |
Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated solid activity levels with 115 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Bradley's 234-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Rafael Dos Anjos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Bradley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyle Bradley | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.