May 7, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 994 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 997 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Phil Hawes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 157 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Phil Hawes dominated the striking exchanges with 157 vs 52 total strikes, 66 vs 28 significant strikes, 65.3% vs 34.1% accuracy. Phil Hawes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:13 | 5:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 014 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Phil Hawes controlled Kyle Daukaus on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:34 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +57 |
Phil Hawes demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Phil Hawes capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Daukaus's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Phil Hawes extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Daukaus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyle Daukaus | Phil Hawes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

