July 25, 2014
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 883 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +30 |
Patrick Cummins overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kyle Kingsbury.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 974 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 016 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Patrick Cummins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 115 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 946 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Patrick Cummins dominated the striking exchanges with 115 vs 22 total strikes, 73 vs 22 significant strikes, 56.6% vs 25.9% accuracy. Patrick Cummins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 9:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 44 |
| Ground ELO | 841 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Patrick Cummins dominated Kyle Kingsbury on the ground with 10 vs 0 takedowns, 9:34 of control time, 44 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 665 | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +106 |
Patrick Cummins demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Patrick Cummins capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Kingsbury's 665-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Patrick Cummins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Kingsbury is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 974 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.