February 4, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Ricardo Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 075 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Kyle Kingsbury's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kyle Kingsbury for the expected result. Had Ricardo Romero pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Ricardo Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Ricardo Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:21 | 0:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 150 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +135 | -47 |
Kyle Kingsbury secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:21 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Ricardo Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 169 | 872 |
| ELO Change | +146 | -146 |
Kyle Kingsbury controlled the striking exchanges with 9 vs 1 significant strikes, 69.2% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kyle Kingsbury capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Ricardo Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 100 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Ricardo Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 144 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 064 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Kyle Kingsbury demonstrated solid activity levels with 144 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Kingsbury capitalized on this activity level, while Ricardo Romero's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Ricardo Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Kyle Kingsbury extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricardo Romero is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyle Kingsbury | Ricardo Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

