September 20, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyle Nelson | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 005 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -37 |
Kyle Nelson overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marco Polo Reyes.
| Metric | Kyle Nelson | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyle Nelson | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:36 | 1:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 083 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +145 | -60 |
Kyle Nelson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Kyle Nelson | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 994 | 892 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Kyle Nelson slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 12 vs 6 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 60.0% accuracy. Kyle Nelson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyle Nelson | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 931 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Kyle Nelson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Marco Polo Reyes on the ground with 0:50 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Kyle Nelson | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -25 |
Kyle Nelson demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Nelson capitalized on this activity level, while Marco Polo Reyes's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Nelson | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 989 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Kyle Nelson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marco Polo Reyes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyle Nelson | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.