April 15, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyle Noke | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Patrick Cote's 8-fight experience advantage (15 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Cote for the expected result. Had Kyle Noke pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kyle Noke | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 014 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyle Noke | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 158 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Patrick Cote earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kyle Noke | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 127 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 175 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Patrick Cote dominated the striking exchanges with 127 vs 67 total strikes, 33 vs 50 significant strikes. Patrick Cote capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyle Noke | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 7:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -112 | +112 |
Patrick Cote controlled Kyle Noke on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:14 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Noke | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 571 | 396 |
| Activity ELO | 1 075 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +17 |
Patrick Cote demonstrated extended layoff with 396 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Patrick Cote capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Noke's 571-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyle Noke | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Patrick Cote extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Noke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyle Noke | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 014 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.