Kyle Noke vs Peter Sobotta

November 13, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1119
(+35)
Kyle Noke
Winner: Kyle Noke
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:01

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kyle Noke+35
Peter Sobotta-30
973
(-30)
Peter Sobotta

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kyle Noke: +29Peter Sobotta: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricKyle NokePeter Sobotta
Total UFC Fights96
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 044957
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Kyle Noke's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kyle Noke for the expected result. Had Peter Sobotta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kyle Noke: +18Peter Sobotta: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricKyle NokePeter Sobotta
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 052971
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kyle Noke: +61Peter Sobotta: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricKyle NokePeter Sobotta
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:012:01
Win Type ELO1 2251 010
ELO Change+61-27
💡

What Happened

Kyle Noke earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kyle Noke: +70Peter Sobotta: -70

Performance Statistics

MetricKyle NokePeter Sobotta
Significant Strikes Landed232
Significant Strikes Attempted436
Total Strikes Landed242
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 261913
ELO Change+70-70
💡

What Happened

Kyle Noke controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 2 total strikes, 23 vs 2 significant strikes, 53.5% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kyle Noke capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kyle Noke: +47Peter Sobotta: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricKyle NokePeter Sobotta
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:14
Ground Strikes Landed120
Ground ELO1 1401 007
ELO Change+47-47
💡

What Happened

Kyle Noke landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kyle Noke: +19Peter Sobotta: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricKyle NokePeter Sobotta
Days Since Last Fight190148
Activity ELO1 109977
ELO Change+19-15
💡

What Happened

Kyle Noke demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Noke capitalized on this activity level, while Peter Sobotta's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kyle Noke: +21Peter Sobotta: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricKyle NokePeter Sobotta
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 070978
ELO Change+21-18
💡

What Happened

Kyle Noke extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Peter Sobotta is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kyle Noke: +18Peter Sobotta: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricKyle NokePeter Sobotta
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 052971
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.