July 23, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyler Phillips | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 096 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kyler Phillips | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyler Phillips | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Raulian Paiva earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Kyler Phillips | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 117 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Kyler Phillips controlled the striking through superior volume (95 vs 72 total strikes), significant strike advantage (74 vs 51), superior accuracy (56.1% vs 43.6%), 1 knockdown. However, since Kyler Phillips lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Raulian Paiva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyler Phillips | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:02 | 3:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 166 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Raulian Paiva edged out Kyler Phillips on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:32 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kyler Phillips | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 1 069 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +22 |
Raulian Paiva demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Raulian Paiva capitalized on this activity level, while Kyler Phillips's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyler Phillips | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +33 |
Raulian Paiva extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyler Phillips is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyler Phillips | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.