Kyoji Horiguchi vs Neil Seery

May 7, 2016

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1157
(+38)
Kyoji Horiguchi
Winner: Kyoji Horiguchi
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kyoji Horiguchi+38
Neil Seery-36
1033
(-36)
Neil Seery

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kyoji Horiguchi: +28Neil Seery: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricKyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
Total UFC Fights75
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1541 062
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Kyoji Horiguchi's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kyoji Horiguchi for the expected result. Had Neil Seery pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kyoji Horiguchi: +19Neil Seery: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0991 020
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kyoji Horiguchi: +33Neil Seery: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricKyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2181 074
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Kyoji Horiguchi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kyoji Horiguchi: +77Neil Seery: -77

Performance Statistics

MetricKyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
Significant Strikes Landed7240
Significant Strikes Attempted145101
Total Strikes Landed8351
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 2461 014
ELO Change+77-77
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What Happened

Kyoji Horiguchi dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 51 total strikes, 72 vs 40 significant strikes, 49.7% vs 39.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Kyoji Horiguchi capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kyoji Horiguchi: +80Neil Seery: -80

Performance Statistics

MetricKyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted85
Ground Control Time5:490:24
Ground Strikes Landed103
Ground ELO1 171984
ELO Change+80-80
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What Happened

Kyoji Horiguchi landed 2 knockdowns followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kyoji Horiguchi: +22Neil Seery: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricKyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
Days Since Last Fight225197
Activity ELO1 1551 057
ELO Change+22-18
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What Happened

Kyoji Horiguchi demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kyoji Horiguchi capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Seery's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kyoji Horiguchi: +22Neil Seery: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricKyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1161 029
ELO Change+22-18
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What Happened

Kyoji Horiguchi extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Seery is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kyoji Horiguchi: +19Neil Seery: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0931 020
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.