May 7, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kyoji Horiguchi | Neil Seery |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 154 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Kyoji Horiguchi's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kyoji Horiguchi for the expected result. Had Neil Seery pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kyoji Horiguchi | Neil Seery |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 099 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kyoji Horiguchi | Neil Seery |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 218 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Kyoji Horiguchi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kyoji Horiguchi | Neil Seery |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 145 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 246 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Kyoji Horiguchi dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 51 total strikes, 72 vs 40 significant strikes, 49.7% vs 39.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Kyoji Horiguchi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kyoji Horiguchi | Neil Seery |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:49 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 171 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Kyoji Horiguchi landed 2 knockdowns followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Kyoji Horiguchi | Neil Seery |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 155 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Kyoji Horiguchi demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kyoji Horiguchi capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Seery's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kyoji Horiguchi | Neil Seery |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 116 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Kyoji Horiguchi extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Seery is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kyoji Horiguchi | Neil Seery |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 093 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

