September 21, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lance Benoist | Sean Pierson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Sean Pierson's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Pierson for the expected result. Had Lance Benoist pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Lance Benoist | Sean Pierson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lance Benoist | Sean Pierson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 005 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Sean Pierson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lance Benoist | Sean Pierson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 91 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 200 | 159 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 109 | 112 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 995 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Lance Benoist controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (91 vs 74), 1 knockdown. However, since Lance Benoist lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sean Pierson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Lance Benoist | Sean Pierson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 2:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Sean Pierson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Lance Benoist on the ground with 2:52 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Lance Benoist | Sean Pierson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Sean Pierson demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean Pierson capitalized on this activity level, while Lance Benoist's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lance Benoist | Sean Pierson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Sean Pierson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lance Benoist is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lance Benoist | Sean Pierson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

