May 14, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lando Vannata | Mike Grundy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 076 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Lando Vannata's 8-fight experience advantage (11 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lando Vannata for the expected result. Had Mike Grundy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Lando Vannata | Mike Grundy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lando Vannata | Mike Grundy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 108 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Lando Vannata receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Lando Vannata | Mike Grundy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 80 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 168 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Lando Vannata controlled the striking exchanges with 83 vs 34 total strikes, 80 vs 32 significant strikes. Lando Vannata capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lando Vannata | Mike Grundy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 20 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 2:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 002 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Lando Vannata did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mike Grundy on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:23 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Lando Vannata | Mike Grundy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Lando Vannata demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Lando Vannata capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Grundy's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lando Vannata | Mike Grundy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -21 |
Lando Vannata started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Grundy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lando Vannata | Mike Grundy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.