February 2, 2024
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Landon Quinones | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 917 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 940 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
MarQuel Mederos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 149 | 146 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 965 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
MarQuel Mederos slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 60 vs 55 significant strikes. MarQuel Mederos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:04 | 4:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
MarQuel Mederos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Landon Quinones on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:13 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 965 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
MarQuel Mederos demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, MarQuel Mederos capitalized on this activity level, while Landon Quinones's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
MarQuel Mederos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Landon Quinones is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

