September 8, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Nasrat Haqparast's 10-fight experience advantage (11 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nasrat Haqparast for the expected result. Had Landon Quinones pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 979 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Nasrat Haqparast earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 148 | 171 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 354 | 377 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 152 | 172 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 986 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Nasrat Haqparast controlled the striking exchanges with 172 vs 152 total strikes, 171 vs 148 significant strikes. Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 982 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Nasrat Haqparast did not secure a significant ground advantage against Landon Quinones on the ground with 0:21 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 371 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +13 |
Nasrat Haqparast demonstrated extended layoff with 371 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this activity level, while Landon Quinones's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +20 |
Nasrat Haqparast extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Landon Quinones is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Landon Quinones | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

