August 7, 2020
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Laureano Staropoli | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -18 | 18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 036 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Tim Means's 18-fight experience advantage (22 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Laureano Staropoli pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Laureano Staropoli | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Laureano Staropoli | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 045 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Tim Means earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Laureano Staropoli | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 161 | 147 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 126 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Tim Means controlled the striking exchanges with 126 vs 81 total strikes, 85 vs 71 significant strikes, 57.8% vs 44.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Laureano Staropoli | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 6:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 916 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Tim Means landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Laureano Staropoli | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 042 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +24 |
Tim Means demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Laureano Staropoli's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Laureano Staropoli | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 015 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Tim Means started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Laureano Staropoli is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Laureano Staropoli | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

