April 12, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 968 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Poliana Botelho earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 84 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 105 | 152 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Poliana Botelho controlled the striking exchanges with 152 vs 105 total strikes, 56.0% vs 40.5% accuracy. Poliana Botelho capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:56 | 6:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 905 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Poliana Botelho controlled Lauren Mueller on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:53 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +38 |
Poliana Botelho demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Poliana Botelho capitalized on this activity level, while Lauren Mueller's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Poliana Botelho started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lauren Mueller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.