April 13, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 052 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Lauren Mueller earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 156 | 206 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 026 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Shana Dobson controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (68 vs 58). However, since Shana Dobson lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lauren Mueller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:48 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 040 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Lauren Mueller edged out Shana Dobson on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:48 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Lauren Mueller demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Lauren Mueller capitalized on this activity level, while Shana Dobson's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Lauren Mueller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shana Dobson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Shana Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.