November 23, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Wu Yanan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 042 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Wu Yanan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Wu Yanan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:00 | 4:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 999 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +88 |
Wu Yanan earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Wu Yanan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 998 | 964 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Wu Yanan slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 39.5% accuracy. Wu Yanan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Wu Yanan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 1:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 976 | 952 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Wu Yanan edged out Lauren Mueller on the ground with 1:13 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Wu Yanan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Wu Yanan demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Wu Yanan capitalized on this activity level, while Lauren Mueller's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Wu Yanan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Wu Yanan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lauren Mueller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lauren Mueller | Wu Yanan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.