July 15, 2022
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 091 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (13 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 191 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Lauren Murphy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 102 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 164 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 128 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 146 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Lauren Murphy controlled the striking exchanges with 102 vs 85 significant strikes. Lauren Murphy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 2:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 264 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Lauren Murphy controlled Miesha Tate on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:18 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Lauren Murphy demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Lauren Murphy capitalized on this activity level, while Miesha Tate's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 121 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -19 |
Lauren Murphy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Miesha Tate is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.