Lauren Murphy vs Sara McMann

August 15, 2014

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

974
(-26)
Lauren Murphy
Winner: Sara McMann
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Lauren Murphy-26
Sara McMann+29
1041
(+29)
Sara McMann

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Lauren Murphy: -32Sara McMann: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricLauren MurphySara McMann
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9681 024
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Sara McMann's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sara McMann for the expected result. Had Lauren Murphy pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Lauren Murphy: -21Sara McMann: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricLauren MurphySara McMann
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 026
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Lauren Murphy: -9Sara McMann: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricLauren MurphySara McMann
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9911 060
ELO Change-9+9
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sara McMann receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Lauren Murphy: -22Sara McMann: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricLauren MurphySara McMann
Significant Strikes Landed4838
Significant Strikes Attempted8380
Total Strikes Landed19364
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9781 006
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Lauren Murphy controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (193 vs 64 total strikes), significant strike advantage (48 vs 38), superior accuracy (57.8% vs 47.5%). However, since Lauren Murphy lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sara McMann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Lauren Murphy: -61Sara McMann: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricLauren MurphySara McMann
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted09
Ground Control Time0:1610:38
Ground Strikes Landed3013
Ground ELO9391 122
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Sara McMann controlled Lauren Murphy on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 10:38 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Lauren Murphy: -21Sara McMann: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricLauren MurphySara McMann
Days Since Last FightN/A175
Activity ELO9791 038
ELO Change-21+37
💡

What Happened

Sara McMann demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sara McMann capitalized on this activity level, while Lauren Murphy's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Lauren Murphy: -21Sara McMann: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricLauren MurphySara McMann
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 026
ELO Change-21+23
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What Happened

Sara McMann started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lauren Murphy is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Lauren Murphy: -21Sara McMann: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricLauren MurphySara McMann
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 022
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.