September 24, 2021
UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 060 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (12 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +23 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Valentina Shevchenko captured the UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 4:00 | 4:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 153 | 1 484 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +26 |
Valentina Shevchenko gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 98 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 170 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 132 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 1 432 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Valentina Shevchenko dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 19 total strikes, 98 vs 11 significant strikes, 57.6% vs 12.1% accuracy. Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 4:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 1 221 | 1 544 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Valentina Shevchenko controlled Lauren Murphy on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:04 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +22 |
Valentina Shevchenko demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Lauren Murphy's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 8 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 101 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +42 |
Valentina Shevchenko continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Lauren Murphy's now at 0.
| Metric | Lauren Murphy | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.