May 4, 2012
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lavar Johnson | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -27 |
Lavar Johnson overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Pat Barry.
| Metric | Lavar Johnson | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lavar Johnson | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:38 | 4:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 211 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -49 |
Lavar Johnson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Lavar Johnson | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 224 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Lavar Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 22 total strikes, 39 vs 15 significant strikes, 54.9% vs 68.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lavar Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lavar Johnson | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:42 | 2:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 038 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Lavar Johnson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Pat Barry on the ground with 0:42 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Lavar Johnson | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -24 |
Lavar Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lavar Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Pat Barry's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lavar Johnson | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Lavar Johnson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pat Barry is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lavar Johnson | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.